Marine Forecast
Illustrated map of Beaver Kill and Willowemoc

Marine forecast

South Shore Bays: Jones Inlet–Shinnecock Bay

current wind
6 kt SSE
Gusts
8 kt
Air
64°F
Water
64°F
72-hr peak
21 kt

Observed Tue 3:00 PM | ANZ345

Gusts now
8 kt
Air
64°F
Water
64°F
72-hr peak
21 kt

In brief

At 3:00 pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, NDBC station 44069 (Great South Bay, 10 miles away) measured wind from the SSE at 6 kt, gusting to 8 kt. The NWS forecast for South Shore Bays: Jones Inlet–Shinnecock Bay, NY issued at 2:27 pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026 reads, for tonight: “S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt late this evening and overnight. Gusts up to 25 kt.” A Small Craft Advisory is in effect until Wed 6:00 AM.

Source: National Weather Service New York NY forecast; NDBC observations

Wind forecast · ktPeak 21 kt

051015202530Wed 14Thu 15Fri 16051015202530Wed 14Thu 15Fri 16
Sustained GustOct 13-16 | EDT

Marine advisory

Small Craft Advisory in effect for South Shore Bays: Jones Inlet–Shinnecock Bay until Wed 6:00 AM.

Full text of this small craft advisory

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt and seas 3 to 4 feet on the ocean. * WHERE...The Long Island south shore bays, and Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

NWS marine forecast

PeriodForecast
TonightS winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt late this evening and overnight. Gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
WedW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed NightNW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
ThuN winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming NE 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu NightSE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers likely after midnight.
FriS winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming SW in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
Fri NightW winds 25 to 30 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Showers, mainly in the evening.
SatNW winds 25 to 30 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat NightNW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
SunW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun NightSW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Issued Tue 2:27 PM by New York NY (product CWFOKX).

TimeWindGustSeasWater
Tue 3:00 PM 6 kt SSE 8 kt — 64°F
Tue 2:45 PM 8 kt SSE 8 kt — 64°F
Tue 1:45 PM 6 kt SE 8 kt — 63°F
Tue 12:45 PM 6 kt SE 8 kt — 63°F
Tue 11:45 AM 10 kt SE 10 kt — 63°F
Tue 10:45 AM 6 kt SE 10 kt — 62°F
Tue 9:45 AM 8 kt ESE 10 kt — 62°F
Tue 8:45 AM 4 kt ENE 4 kt — 62°F
Tue 7:45 AM 0 kt 2 kt — 62°F
Tue 6:45 AM 4 kt NNW 4 kt — 62°F
Tue 5:45 AM 2 kt NW 4 kt — 62°F
Tue 4:45 AM 2 kt N 4 kt — 62°F

Observed Tue 3:00 PM at NDBC buoy 44069 (Great South Bay), 9.8 miles away.

What is the marine forecast for South Shore Bays: Jones Inlet–Shinnecock Bay today?

Tonight: S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt late this evening and overnight. Gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Is there a small craft advisory for South Shore Bays: Jones Inlet–Shinnecock Bay?

Yes — small craft advisory in effect until Wed 6:00 AM.

What is the water temperature at South Shore Bays: Jones Inlet–Shinnecock Bay?

The nearest buoy read 64°F (18°C) at Tue 3:00 PM. Sea surface temperature at a single buoy can differ by several degrees from the water at a beach or in a shallow bay nearby.

What do the wind speeds in knots mean?

One knot is 1.15 mph. The National Weather Service issues a small craft advisory for sustained winds of roughly 22–33 knots or hazardous seas, a gale warning at 34–47 knots, and a storm warning at 48 knots and above. Exact advisory thresholds vary by forecast office and by water body — a bay reaches dangerous chop at a lower wind speed than open ocean.

Where does this forecast come from?

The forecast text is the National Weather Service's own marine bulletin for zone ANZ345, issued by New York NY, reproduced in full. The wind and seas charts are drawn from the NWS gridded forecast for a point inside the zone. Observations come from the nearest reporting NDBC buoy. We are not affiliated with NOAA or the National Weather Service.

Forecast: NOAA/NWS product CWFOKX, issued Tue 2:27 PM. Observations: NOAA National Data Buoy Center station 44069, read Tue 3:00 PM. Retrieved Oct 13, 3:42 PM. Conditions offshore change faster than any page can be rebuilt, so check the current NWS bulletin and your own instruments before going out.